Cyclical stocks follow economic cycles, rising in expansion, falling in recession, sensitive to demand shifts. Economic uncertainties impact cyclical stocks, but resilience can stem from unique market ...

Discover how the Great Recession caused shifts in structural unemployment, transforming job markets and leaving lasting economic impacts beyond cyclical trends.

This is the initial draft of a 'Recession Mode' that I'm adding to my overall cyclical strategy. I set out to improve the current late-cycle 'defensive mode' I've been in for past year-and-a-half by ...

Downturns in the business cycle cause cyclical unemployment, so policymakers should focus on expanding output, which can be achieved by stimulating demand.

What are economic cycles? Why is it important to understand economic cycles? What are the main causes of economic cycles? What are the key indicators of economic cycles? How can you predict a ...

Using past statistical history of up vs. down markets, one can calculate the odds of a down market. Where the art comes into play is searching past cycles to measure the varied amplitudes and, more ...

A trend in the stock market shows investors are betting on continued US growth, one firm says. Historically, an increase in defensive valuations has preceded a recession, but that's not happening.

During economic uncertainty, investors often seek recession-resistant assets for stability. Healthcare stocks are seen as resilient since healthcare needs persist regardless of financial conditions.

Involuntary part-time employment—the share of people who work less than 35 hours per week but want and are available to work full-time—has increased since 2023. While this contrasts with steady ...

This paper investigates dynamic relationships between U.S. government expenditure multipliers and the economy's cyclical position from 1949 to 2018 using a Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregression ...